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固废处置产业大风已起 多板块开启万亿级市场空间

2020-09-25 13:36:33来源:环保在线 编辑:筱阳阅读量:60575

导读:由于所在领域细分板块众多,可挖掘空间大且具备一定联动性,固废行业受到上市企业的格外青睐。
  2020年的固废处置市场,和往年有些不同。
 
  固废处理万亿元市场的潜力也正在被审视和评估。相较于水务和大气污染治理具有更深市场维度的固废处理行业正处于黄金发展时期,市场关注度持续向上。按照一系列顶层设计要求,行业总体方向仍将继续围绕固废管理的“三化”原则,即减量化、资源化和无害化。预计整个固废产业链(包括环卫、再生资源、垃圾焚烧等)的高景气度在未来几年仍将维持,且全产业链的固废处置模式或将更受认可或推崇。
 
  长期来看,新《固废法》的实施将拓宽固废管理范围,提高了环境违法成本,从而提升企业配置固废相关环保设备的需求,给专业化环保企业带来更多机会。另据公开资料,固废市场规模将从占环保投资总额不到10%增至“十三五”的25%左右。中国工程院院士杜祥琬预计,到2030年,我国固体废物分类资源化利用产值规模将达7万亿—8万亿元。
 
  各细分领域也将迎来更多的投资需求。固废处理行业细分领域众多,主要包括工业固废、市政垃圾、餐厨垃圾、危险废物、再生资源回收利用等。诚如目前各地正因地制宜推动后端餐厨及厨余垃圾处置产能建设,将带来每年500亿市场空间。垃圾焚烧发电正逐渐成为固废处理的主角儿,综合能力强的区域将在新一轮行业竞争中脱颖而出。
 
  随着东部地区的生活垃圾焚烧项目逐步饱和,未来垃圾焚烧发电项目将逐步向中部及西部转移。危废处理板块则有望成为新的增长极。由于危废产量巨大,实际处理率偏低仅为30%,且危废种类多,具有资质壁垒,短期缺口难以快速弥合。而预计两年内在全国形成一批可复制、可推广的“无废城市”试点示范模式,也将进一步催生万亿级固废处理市场。
 
  面临新机遇,积极扩产拓能成为企业常态。这期间,新固废法的出台为行业带来机会的同时,对各种固废处置的三化要求、固废处置的技术创新能力和信息化水平等要求也在不断提升。目前,固废产业已进入以环境综合服务为核心的阶段,各选手均积极寻找快速规模化的发展方式。企查查数据显示,迄今我国共有固体废物处理相关企业5.4万家。仅在过去的6个月里,相关企业新注册0.98万家,同比增长63.3%。
 
  下一步随着顶层设计进一步规范后,以市场机制来整合的趋势会比较明显。由于所在领域细分板块众多,可挖掘空间大且具备一定联动性,固废行业受到上市企业的格外青睐。资料显示,尽管我国目前固废处理业务收入占比超过20%的A股上市公司约20家左右,但整体市场规模并不大。目前政策面持续向好,固废处理将凭借多年沉淀的技术、产业、资本优势,进一步整合优质产能,迎来发展空间。
 
  券商报告认为,靠融资支撑工程收入扩张的模式走到尽头,全产业链发展与特定领域提升专业化运营能力并存成为行业发展新路径。垃圾分类严格化后,预计也将带来垃圾处理技术路线格局的变化,资源化回收类技术处理路线占比将开始提升。目前行业存在高壁垒,竞争格局目前较分散,兼并收购为行业未来主题。
 
  而在市场加速释放的大背景下,地域竞争、市场竞争日趋激烈。行业也从分散的格局逐渐整合,跨地区的综合性固废处置服务大企业将会出现并逐渐成长。优势明显,固废产业链不断扩张;而部分企业则将面临更多挑战,甚至是被淘汰出局。

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